查看星期一, 4 8月 2025歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2025 Aug 04 1231 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
04 Aug 2025	148	008
05 Aug 2025	150	010
06 Aug 2025	152	010

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity over the last 24 hours has been moderate, with three M-class flares and multiple C-class flares. The strongest flare was an M2.9 flare (SIDC Flare 5021) peaking at 13:57 UTC on August 03, associated with SIDC Sunspot Group 588 (NOAA Active Region 4168, magnetic type beta-gamma-delta). There are currently eight numbered active regions on the solar disk. The most complex one is Sunspot Group 588 (NOAA Active Region 4168). SIDC Sunspot Groups 539, 572 and 587 (NOAA Active Regions 4157, 4155 and 4166) are currently rotating behind the west limb. SIDC Sunspot Group 554 (magnetic type alpha) has rotated on disc from the east limb, in the northeast quadrant. SIDC Sunspot Group 589 (magnetic type beta) has emerged in the northwest quadrant. The solar flaring activity is expected to be moderate to high over the next 24 hours, with M-class flares very likely and a small chance for X-class flares.

日冕物質拋射

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraph imagery over the last 24 hours.

太陽風

The solar wind conditions (ACE) were enhanced during the last 24 hours, under the waning influence of the high-speed stream from the equatorial, negative polarity coronal hole (SIDC Coronal Hole 122). The solar wind speed ranged between 430 km/s and 550 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field was around 8 nT. The Bz component varied between -9 nT and 6 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field angle phi was in the negative sector. A gradual decrease to slow solar wind conditions is expected over the next 24 hours.

地磁

Geomagnetic conditions globally reached active levels (NOAA Kp 4) between 18:00 UTC and 21:00 UTC on August 04. Geomagnetic conditions locally reached active levels (K Bel 4) between 19:00 UTC and 21:00 UTC on August 04. Mostly quiet conditions, with possible isolated unsettled intervals, (NOAA Kp 1-3) are expected over the next 24 hours.

質子通量水平

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was below the 10 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold level over the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 18 was over the 1000 pfu threshold between 19:20 UTC and 20:30 UTC on August 03. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 19 remained below the 1000 pfu threshold during the last 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain mostly below the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence is presently at normal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：109，基於19個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 03 Aug 2025

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	146
AK Chambon La Forêt	015
AK Wingst	014
估計地磁Ap指數	012
估計國際太陽黑子數	133 - 基於30個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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