發布時間: 2025 Aug 22 1231 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2025 | 122 | 013 |
| 23 Aug 2025 | 122 | 008 |
| 24 Aug 2025 | 122 | 007 |
Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with only C-class flares identified. A total of 6 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. The largest flare was a C2.3 flare (SIDC Flare 5184) peaking on August 21 at 15:56 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 607 (NOAA Active Region 4191). Solar flaring activity is expected to be low over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares likely and a small chance for M-class flares.
No new Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph images.
The small SIDC Coronal Hole 127 (polar-north coronal hole with a negative polarity) is crossing the central meridian. The high speed stream from this coronal hole is not expected to enhance the solar wind environment near Earth.
The solar wind conditions at Earth remain under the influence of the high speed stream associated with SIDC coronal hole 116. The solar wind speed ranged between 450 to 540 km/s over the past 24 hours. The interplanetary magnetic field is around 4 nT, with the Bz reaching a minimum value of -3 nT. In the next 24 hours, we expect the gradual transition to slow solar wind.
Geomagnetic conditions were globally and locally quiet to unsettled (Kp 3 and K Bel 3). Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained below the 10 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so over the next days.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 18 and 19 remained mainly below the 1000 pfu alert threshold, with a small crossing of the threshold around 17:00 UTC. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain mainly below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):054,基於13個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 121 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 013 |
| AK Wingst | 010 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 009 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 069 - 基於22個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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