發布時間: 2025 Sep 26 1231 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2025 | 166 | 006 |
| 27 Sep 2025 | 164 | 014 |
| 28 Sep 2025 | 163 | 020 |
Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours, with only C-class flares. The strongest flare was a C3.4 flare (SIDC Flare 5562) peaking at 14:01 UTC on September 25, which was associated with SIDC Sunspot Group 640 (NOAA Active Region 4217, magnetic type beta). There are currently nine numbered active regions on the solar disk. SIDC Sunspot Groups 592, 640, 648, 644, 650 (NOAA Active Regions 4226, 4217, 4230, 4224, 4229) are the most complex, all with magnetic type beta. SIDC Sunspot Group 642 (NOAA Active Region 4221) and SIDC Sunspot Group 647 have rotated over the west limb. The solar flaring activity is expected to be low over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares very likely and a chance for M-class flares.
No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraph imagery in the last 24 hours.
The solar wind conditions (ACE) are gradually returning to the slow solar wind regime, under the waning influence of the high-speed stream from the mid-latitude, negative polarity coronal hole (SIDC Coronal Hole 126). The solar wind speed decreased from approximately 500 km/s to approximately 430 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field values were mostly around 5 nT. The Bz component varied between -4 nT and 5 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field angle was in the negative sector. Enhanced solar wind conditions are possible over the next 24 hours due to the high- speed stream associated with the small, equatorial, negative polarity coronal hole (SIDC Coronal Hole 132) that crossed the central meridian on September 24.
Geomagnetic conditions globally and locally were mostly at quiet to unsettled levels (NOAA Kp 1 to 3, K BEL 1 to 3). Unsettled to active conditions are possible over the next 24 hours due to the high-speed stream associated with the small, equatorial, negative polarity coronal hole (SIDC Coronal Hole 132) that crossed the central meridian on September 24.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was below the 10 pfu threshold level over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold level over the next 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 was below the 1000 pfu threshold in the last 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be below the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence is presently at normal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):154,基於10個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 186 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 170 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 018 |
| AK Wingst | 007 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 007 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 155 - 基於13個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理
所有時間均採用 UTC 時間
很多網友來到 SpaceWeatherLive 追蹤太陽活動或極光觀測機會,但隨著流量增加,維持伺服器運作的成本也隨之越高。若您喜歡 SpaceWeatherLive 並想支持這個計畫,可選擇訂閱無廣告版本,或考慮捐款。有了您的幫助,我們才能讓 SpaceWeatherLive 持續運作!
| 上一個 X-閃焰 | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| 上一個 M-閃焰 | 29/05/2026 | M1.1 |
| 上一個 地球磁爆 | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| 無黑子天數 | |
|---|---|
| 過去 365 天內 | 3天 |
| 2026 | 3天 (2%) |
| 上一個無黑子日 | 24/02/2026 |
| 黑子數月平均 | |
|---|---|
| 4月 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| 5月 2026 | 97.9 +18.6 |
| 過去 30 天內 | 97.9 +5 |