查看星期四, 9 10月 2025歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2025 Oct 09 1231 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
09 Oct 2025	117	010
10 Oct 2025	110	007
11 Oct 2025	105	004

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with only two C1 flares identified. They were emitted by SIDC Sunspot Group 661 (NOAA Active Region [AR] 4241, Beta magnetic configuration) and SIDC Sunspot Group 663 (NOAA AR 4242, Beta magnetic configuration). A limited number of low-intensity C-class flares is expected in the next 24 hours.

日冕物質拋射

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) were observed in the last 24 hours.

太陽風

The Solar Wind (SW) conditions appear to be affected by a glancing blow that arrived in the first half of 9 Oct. It is probably associated with the SIDC CME 577 that was launched on 5 Oct at 03:25 UTC. The SW speed ranged from 320 to 430 km/s, while the interplanetary magnetic field (B) varied between 4 and 15 nT, and its North-South component (Bz) fluctuated between -6 and 13 nT. The SW speed is expected to remain at the same level and the magnetic field is expected to slowly drop in the next 24 hours.

地磁

During the last 24 hours geomagnetic conditions were both globally and locally quiet to unsettled (NOAA Kp 1- to 3- and K BEL 1 to 3). They are expected to remain at the same level, both globally and locally, for the next 24 hours.

質子通量水平

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by the GOES-19 satellite, was at background levels over the past 24 hours and is likely to remain so in the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

Over the last 24 hours the greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES 19, was above the 1000 pfu alert threshold until 8 Oct 22:00 UTC, with a peak value at 5000 pfu. In the next 24 hours it is expected to remain below the 1000 pfu alert threshold. The 24-hour electron fluence was at moderate levels during the past 24 hours. It is expected to drop further and reach normal levels in the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：060，基於13個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 08 Oct 2025

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	060
10厘米太陽通量	120
AK Chambon La Forêt	009
AK Wingst	010
估計地磁Ap指數	011
估計國際太陽黑子數	073 - 基於19個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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