查看星期二, 28 10月 2025歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2025 Oct 28 1231 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Moderate (ISES: Major) magstorm expected (A>=50 or K=6)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
28 Oct 2025121034
29 Oct 2025121067
30 Oct 2025121017

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity was very low over the past 24 hours. The X-ray flux was below C level. A total of 7 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. All the sunspot group have simple (alpha or beta) magentic field configuration. Solar flaring activity is expected to be low over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares likely.

日冕物質拋射

There were two wide CME on 27 October, erupting towards the north. The first one at 08:12 UT and the second one at 13:21 UT, both CMEs are backsided and will not arrive to the Earth.

日冕洞

SIDC Coronal Hole 123 (mid-latitude coronal hole with a positive polarity) crossed the central meridian on October 25.

太陽風

Over the past 24 hours, solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) reflected a slow solar wind regime. Around 15:00 UT on 26 October we observed weak signatures of what could be the expected glancing blow from the CME on 23 October (SIDC CME 586), with the interplanetary magnetic field increasing to 11 nT. The speed has risen now to 430 km/s and the magnetic field is at 9 nT. In the next 24 hours, we expect the arrival of a high-speed stream from a large positive polarity coronal hole (SIDC Coronal Hole 123).

地磁

Geomagnetic conditions were mostly unsettled, reaching active levels locally (NOAA Kp: up to 3; K-Bel: up to 4). In the next 24 hours, the expected high-speed stream arrival from a large recurrent positive polarity coronal hole (SIDC Coronal Hole 123) may cause moderate storm levels.

質子通量水平

The greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was below the 10 pfu threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 was below the 1000 pfu threshold. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain below the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to be at normal levels over the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):106,基於11個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 27 Oct 2025

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數087
10厘米太陽通量121
AK Chambon La Forêt017
AK Wingst008
估計地磁Ap指數007
估計國際太陽黑子數096 - 基於23個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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