Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.

Solar activity is likely to be high on days one, two, and three (12 Nov, 13 Nov, 14 Nov).

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 521 km/s at 10/2114Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 10/2243Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 10/2253Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 157 pfu at 11/1505Z. Protons greater than 100 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 29 pfu at 11/1635Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 10890 pfu, however data was suspect due to proton contamination.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at active to severe storm levels on day one (12 Nov), unsettled to severe storm levels on day two (13 Nov) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (14 Nov). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (12 Nov), are expected to cross threshold on day two (13 Nov) and are likely to cross threshold on day three (14 Nov).

  觀測的       11 Nov 168
  預測的   12 Nov-14 Nov 170/170/165
  90天平均值        11 Nov 152

  觀測的 Afr/Ap 10 Nov  009/014
  估算值     Afr/Ap 11 Nov  012/014
  預測的    Afr/Ap 12 Nov-14 Nov  066/109-030/055-016/022