發布時間: 2026 Mar 26 1259 UTC
M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 142 | 010 |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 145 | 005 |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 150 | 010 |
Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours, as an M3.9 (SIDC flare 7259) was detected on 26 Mar at 06:23 UTC. It was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group (SG) 832 (NOAA Active Region [AR] 4403) despite having a Alpha magnetic configuration. The same SG also produced three C-class flares at the second half of 25 Mar. SIDC SG 834 is another region of interest as it also produced three C-class flares, although most of it is behind the East limb. Its brightest flare was SIDC flare 7267, a C5 emitted on 26 Mar at 08:47 UTC. It is most likely a much brighter flare, but obscured by the solar limb. Further isolated M-class flares are likely in the next 24 hours, either from SIDC SG 832 or 834.
No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) were observed in the last 24 hours.
The Solar Wind (SW) conditions returned to a slow SW regime, as the effects of the High Speed Stream diminished during the last 24 hours. The SW speed decreased from 600 to 400 km/s, the interplanetary magnetic field (B) ranged between 3 and 8 nT, and its North-South component (Bz) varied from -5 nT to 7 nT. A glancing blow from SIDC CME 642 (launched on 22 Mar 23:54 UTC) has a chance of arrival in the next 24 hours, but is expected to have a minor effect.
The geomagnetic conditions were globally (NOAA Kp) and locally (K BEL) quiet to unsettled during the past 24 hours. They are expected to remain at quiet to unsettled level during the next 24 hours.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by the GOES-19 satellite, was at background levels over the past 24 hours and is likely to remain so in the next 24 hours.
During the past 24 hours, the greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 19 was above the 1000 pfu alert threshold and ranged between 1000 and 10000 pfu. A small drop is expected in the next 24 hours, however it is likely that the electron flux will remain above the alert threshold level. The electron fluence decreased fro high to moderate levels on 25 Mar at 19:35 UTC. It is likely to remain at moderate levels in the next 24 hours.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):113,基於16個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 123 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 140 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 020 |
| AK Wingst | 013 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 015 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 113 - 基於22個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0611 | 0623 | 0631 | ---- | M3.9 | 64/4403 |
由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理
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