發布時間: 2026 Apr 15 1231 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr 2026 | 099 | 007 |
| 16 Apr 2026 | 099 | 007 |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 097 | 007 |
A total of 4 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. No C-class flares or larger were detected in the last 24 hours. Solar flaring activity is expected to be low over the next 24 hours.
No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in the last 24 hours.
There is a large negative polarity coronal hole (SIDC Coronal Hole 147) located in the northern hemisphere that crossed the central meridian today. In the sourthern hemisphere, there is a high latitude coronal hole (with its northernmost part at 30 degrees latitude) with positive polarity (SIDC Coronal Hole 159).
The solar wind speed is low, around 370 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field magnitude of 5 nT, with positive polarity (away from the Sun). There are low chances that a high speed solar wind stream from a high latitude (southern) coronal hole (SIDC coronal hole 159) reaches the Earth within 24 h. Otherwise similar slow wind conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.
Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet (Kp and K_BEL up to 2). Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by GOES-18, was below the 10 pfu threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES-18 and GOES-19 have remained close to the 1000 pfu alert threshold over the past 24 hours. The flux is expected to remain mostly below the alert threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at normal to moderate levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain at these levels over the next 24 hours.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):054,基於15個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 076 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 101 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 006 |
| AK Wingst | 003 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 002 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 060 - 基於27個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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| 上一個 地球磁爆 | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| 無黑子天數 | |
|---|---|
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| 2026 | 3天 (2%) |
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