發布時間: 2026 Apr 29 1247 UTC
M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 140 | 017 |
| 30 Apr 2026 | 135 | 022 |
| 01 May 2026 | 135 | 025 |
Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours, with 3 M-class flares identified. The largest flare was a M1.5 flare (SIDC Flare 7545) peaking on April 28 at 13:53 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 847 (NOAA Active Region 4420). A total of 9 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. SIDC Sunspot Group 847 (NOAA AR 4420) is the most complex region, with a beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration, which has produced all the M-class flaring activities over the past 24 hours. Solar flaring activity is expected to be low to moderate over the next 24 hours, with few C-class flares, possibly M-class flares and a low chance for X-class flares.
No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were detected in the available coronagraph observations during the last 24 hour.
SIDC Coronal Hole (CH) 142, spanning 25 N - 80 N (recurrent negative polarity), has started to cross the central meridian on Apr 29, and the high-speed streams from this CH may enhance the solar wind environment near Earth during May 02-06.
Earth is presently within the slow solar wind regime, speed ranging from 310 km/s to 380 km/s. The North-South component (Bz) ranged between -4 and 4 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field ranged between 1 nT to 5 nT. Slow solar wind conditions are expected to continue over the next 24 hours unless the high speed streams from the SIDC Coronal Hole 149, which crossed the central meridian during Apr 26-28 (recurrent negative polarity), arrives at Earth.
Geomagnetic conditions were globally and locally quiet (NOAA Kp 0 to 1 and K BEL 1 to 2). In the next 24 hours, active to minor storm conditions (K 4 to 5) are possible if the high speed streams from the SIDC Coronal Hole 149, which crossed the central meridian during Apr 26-28 (recurrent negative polarity), arrives at Earth.
The greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was below the threshold level over the past 24 hours and it is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES-19 and GOES-18 satellites, remained below the threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the coming 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence is presently at normal level and is expected to be at normal to moderate levels in the next 24 hours.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):134,基於18個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 160 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | /// |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 006 |
| AK Wingst | 002 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 003 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 141 - 基於27個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 1217 | 1223 | 1229 | N15W38 | M1.0 | S | 85/4420 | III/1 | |
| 28 | 1349 | 1353 | 1355 | N17W38 | M1.5 | SN | 85/4420 | ||
| 28 | 1403 | 1407 | 1409 | N17W39 | M1.1 | S | 85/4420 |
由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理
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| 上一個 M-閃焰 | 22/05/2026 | M2.3 |
| 上一個 地球磁爆 | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| 無黑子天數 | |
|---|---|
| 過去 365 天內 | 3天 |
| 2026 | 3天 (2%) |
| 上一個無黑子日 | 24/02/2026 |
| 黑子數月平均 | |
|---|---|
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| 過去 30 天內 | 96.4 +4.5 |