發布時間: 2026 May 08 1242 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 08 May 2026 | 115 | 016 |
| 09 May 2026 | 113 | 011 |
| 10 May 2026 | 114 | 004 |
The solar flaring activity has reached moderates levels over the past 24 hours. An M2.6 flare (SIDC Flare 7622), peak time at 15:14 UTC on May 07, was produced by a region from behind the east limb. A total of 4 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the visible solar disk. Two of the regions are simple (classified as magnetic type alpha) and have remained inactive. SIDC Sunspot Group 862 (NOAA Active Region 4433) currently located at S16E12, classified as magnetic type beta, has produced a C6.0 flare (SIDC Flare 7624) with peak time at 17:57 UTC on May 07. SIDC Sunspot Group 860 (NOAA Active Region 4432) has exhibited significant flux emergence and is currently classified as magnetic type beta-gamma. So far it has produced only a single isolated low C-class flare. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at low levels over the next 24 hours with very likely C-class flares and chances for isolated M-class flaring.
No other Earth-directed coronal mass ejection (CMEs) have been identified in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours.
Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (as measured by ACE at L1) have registered an anticipated co-rotating interaction region (CIR) arrival with a subsequent arrival of a mild high speed stream associated with a positive polarity coronal hole (SIDC CH 158). The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field (B) was substantially elevated, reaching a maximum value of 20.11 nT. The north-south (Bz) component was predominantly positive (northward) and registered a minimum value of -12.3 nT. The solar wind speed has increased to close to 600 km/s at present. The B field phi angle was predominantly in the positive sector (directed away from the Sun) reflecting the polarity of the geo-effective coronal hole. The solar wind parameters over the next 24 hours are expected to remain under the mild influence of the ongoing high-speed stream arrival.
The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours have been globally quiet to unsettled with active levels registered locally over Belgium between 19:00 and 22:00 UTC on May 07. Quiet to active conditions are expected for the next 24 hours and predominantly quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for May 09.
Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the 24 hours over the next 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 was close to, but below the 1000 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours and might exceed the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):077,基於18個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 091 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 117 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 017 |
| AK Wingst | 013 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 010 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 070 - 基於23個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 | 1420 | 1514 | 1540 | ---- | M2.6 | --/---- |
由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理
所有時間均採用 UTC 時間
很多網友來到 SpaceWeatherLive 追蹤太陽活動或極光觀測機會,但隨著流量增加,維持伺服器運作的成本也隨之越高。若您喜歡 SpaceWeatherLive 並想支持這個計畫,可選擇訂閱無廣告版本,或考慮捐款。有了您的幫助,我們才能讓 SpaceWeatherLive 持續運作!
| 上一個 X-閃焰 | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| 上一個 M-閃焰 | 22/05/2026 | M2.3 |
| 上一個 地球磁爆 | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| 無黑子天數 | |
|---|---|
| 過去 365 天內 | 3天 |
| 2026 | 3天 (2%) |
| 上一個無黑子日 | 24/02/2026 |
| 黑子數月平均 | |
|---|---|
| 4月 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| 5月 2026 | 89.2 +9.9 |
| 過去 30 天內 | 94.5 +2.6 |