發布時間: 2026 Jun 17 1231 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun 2026 | 113 | 014 |
| 18 Jun 2026 | 113 | 007 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 113 | 013 |
A total of 5 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. They all have simple alpha or beta magnetic field configuration, and have only produced minor C-class flaring in the past 24 hours. The largest flare was a C1.2 flare peaking on June 17 at 05:20 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 870 (NOAA Active Region 4465).
No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in the last 24 hours.
SIDC Coronal Hole 168 (equatorial coronal hole with a positive polarity) crossed the central meridian on June 13 and is now positioned on the western side of the Sun. SIDC Coronal Hole 169 (equatorial coronal hole with a positive polarity) is currently crossing the central meridian.
The ICME corresponding to the 12 June CME arrived to the Earth early on 17 June. As expected, the effect of the ICME was weak with a magnetic field reaching 12 nT (with Bz mostly positive) and a speed around 415 km/s. The arrival of a fast solar wind stream, from SIDC Coronal Hole 168 could be expected in the next 24 hours; however, due to the coronal hole's limited size, any impact is expected to be mild.
Geomagnetic conditions were quiet at planetary levels (Kp up to 2.33) and reached unsettled conditions at local levels (K_Bel up to 3). The possible arrival of a mild high speed stream may increase geomagnetic conditions.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by GOES-18, was below the 10 pfu threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES-18 and GOES-19 was slightly above the 1000 pfu alert threshold in the past 24 hours. The flux is expected to fluctuate around the alert threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at normal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain at these levels over the next 24 hours.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):059,基於17個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 113 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 012 |
| AK Wingst | 010 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 009 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 079 - 基於21個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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| 上一個 M-閃焰 | 06/06/2026 | M1.8 |
| 上一個 地球磁爆 | 11/06/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| 無黑子天數 | |
|---|---|
| 過去 365 天內 | 3天 |
| 2026 | 3天 (2%) |
| 上一個無黑子日 | 24/02/2026 |
| 黑子數月平均 | |
|---|---|
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| 6月 2026 | 104.7 +3.3 |
| 過去 30 天內 | 108.3 +10.8 |