發布時間: 2026 Jun 20 1231 UTC
M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2026 | 111 | 006 |
| 21 Jun 2026 | 113 | 007 |
| 22 Jun 2026 | 115 | 007 |
A total of 4 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. An M1.3 flare (the largest of the period) was observed peaking on June 20 at 01:51 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 897 (NOAA Active Region 4472) that rotated into view from the east limb. More M-class flares are possible in the coming 24 hours.
A wide Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) with an angular width of approximately 90 degrees was detected by LASCO C2 at 02:12 UTC on 20 June. Associated with an M1.3 solar flare, this CME originated near the east limb and is directed eastward; no Earth arrival is expected. Shortly after, at 03:12 UTC, a second CME emerged toward the northeast. While spatial and temporal proximity causes these CMEs to appear merged in coronagraph imagery, they are distinct events. The second CME originated on the farside of the Sun and will not impact Earth.
In the last 24 hours we saw a slight increase in solar wind speed (up to 450 km/s) and magnetic field (11 nT) related to the expected mild fast stream from SIDC Coronal Hole 169. The Earth is currently inside slow solar wind, the solar wind speed is around 400 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field is at 7nT. Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.
Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled both at planetary and local levels (Kp and K_Bel up to 3). Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by GOES-18, was below the 10 pfu threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES-18 and GOES-19 was below the 1000 pfu alert threshold in the past 24 hours. The flux is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at normal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain at these levels over the next 24 hours.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):089,基於20個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 053 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 111 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 013 |
| AK Wingst | 008 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 009 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 066 - 基於29個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0126 | 0151 | 0204 | ---- | M1.3 | 54/4472 |
由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理
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| 上一個 X-閃焰 | 03/06/2026 | X1.0 |
| 上一個 M-閃焰 | 21/06/2026 | M6.9 |
| 上一個 地球磁爆 | 25/06/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| 無黑子天數 | |
|---|---|
| 過去 365 天內 | 3天 |
| 2026 | 3天 (2%) |
| 上一個無黑子日 | 24/02/2026 |
| 黑子數月平均 | |
|---|---|
| 5月 2026 | 101.4 +22.1 |
| 6月 2026 | 100.5 -0.9 |
| 過去 30 天內 | 103.1 +3.9 |