發布時間: 2026 Jun 22 1231 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun 2026 | 120 | 007 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | 125 | 007 |
| 24 Jun 2026 | 128 | 007 |
Solar flaring activity was high over the past 24 hours, with 1 M-class flare identified. The largest flare was a M6.8 flare (SIDC Flare 7988) peaking on June 21 at 19:29 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 885 (NOAA Active Regions 4473). A total of 5 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. SIDC Sunspot Group 885 (NOAA Active Region 4473) ,currently located at S09E49, has a Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration and was in charge of the majority of the flaring activity of the past 24 hours.
A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME), with angular width of 94 degrees, first appeared in the SOHO/LASCO-C2 field of view at June 21 20:00 UTC. The CME was associated with the M6.8 flare peaking on June 21 at 19:29 UTC (SIDC Sunspot Group 885/NOAA AR 4473), located S08E63. A type II radio burst was associated, indicating a speed of around 380 km/s. Seen the location on the disk there is a light possibility of a glancing blow late June 25.
A east-west elongated negative polarity mid-latitude coronal hole is crossing the central meridian. A high-speed stream from this coronal hole may enhance the solar wind environment near Earth on June 25.
The Earth is currently inside a slow solar wind regime, with solar wind speed around 350 km/s and an interplanetary magnetic field of 6nT. Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.
Geomagnetic conditions were quiet at planetary and unsettled at local levels (Kp up to 2, K_Dourbes up to 3). Similar quiet to unsettled conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by GOES-18, was below the 10 pfu threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold, and is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):075,基於22個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | /// |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
| AK Wingst | 006 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 005 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 067 - 基於32個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 1917 | 1929 | 1935 | S07E55 | M6.8 | 2B | --/4473 | III/2II/1 |
由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理
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| 上一個 X-閃焰 | 03/06/2026 | X1.0 |
| 上一個 M-閃焰 | 21/06/2026 | M6.9 |
| 上一個 地球磁爆 | 25/06/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| 無黑子天數 | |
|---|---|
| 過去 365 天內 | 3天 |
| 2026 | 3天 (2%) |
| 上一個無黑子日 | 24/02/2026 |
| 黑子數月平均 | |
|---|---|
| 5月 2026 | 101.4 +22.1 |
| 6月 2026 | 100.5 -0.9 |
| 過去 30 天內 | 103.1 +3.9 |