發布時間: 2026 Jun 24 1231 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | 134 | 007 |
| 25 Jun 2026 | 140 | 011 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 142 | 011 |
Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with only C-class flares. The largest flare was a C8.7 flare, peaking on 2026-06-23 at 23:25 UTC from SIDC Sunspot group 901 (NOAA AR4477). A total of 8 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours, all having simple magnetic configuration (alpha or beta). Most of the C-class flaring was coming from SIDC Sunspot Group 901 (NOAA Active Region 4477) currently located at S13E64 and SIDC Sunspot Group 899 (NOAA Active Region 4475) currently located at S09E31. Solar flaring activity is expected to be low over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares likely and a small chance for M-class flares.
The partial halo Coronal Mass Ejection (CME), with angular width of 130 degrees that first appeared in the SOHO/LASCO-C2 field of view at 23 JUN 19:15 UTC and directed to the northeastern quadrant is a back-sided event.
The equatorial negative polarity SIDC Coronal Hole 165 has finished it’s crossing over the central meridian. The northern mid latitude negative polarity SIDC Coronal Hole 142 is now crossing central meridian. A high-speed stream from this coronal hole may enhance the solar wind environment near Earth on June 27.
The Earth is currently inside a slow solar wind regime, with solar wind speed around 450 km/s and an interplanetary magnetic field of 12nT, and BZ reaching a maximum negative value of -7nT. Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.
Geomagnetic conditions were quiet at planetary and unsettled at local levels (Kp up to 2, K_Dourbes up to 3). Similar quiet to unsettled conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by GOES-18, was below the 10 pfu threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold, and is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):098,基於21個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 146 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 130 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 017 |
| AK Wingst | 010 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 009 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 085 - 基於32個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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| 上一個 X-閃焰 | 03/06/2026 | X1.0 |
| 上一個 M-閃焰 | 21/06/2026 | M6.9 |
| 上一個 地球磁爆 | 25/06/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| 無黑子天數 | |
|---|---|
| 過去 365 天內 | 3天 |
| 2026 | 3天 (2%) |
| 上一個無黑子日 | 24/02/2026 |
| 黑子數月平均 | |
|---|---|
| 5月 2026 | 101.4 +22.1 |
| 6月 2026 | 100.5 -0.9 |
| 過去 30 天內 | 103.1 +3.9 |