Vydáno: 2026 May 07 1237 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
| 10cm tok | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 07 May 2026 | 118 | 007 |
| 08 May 2026 | 113 | 024 |
| 09 May 2026 | 110 | 011 |
The solar flaring activity was at low levels over the past 24 hours. A total of 7 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the visible solar disk. All regions are relatively simply, classified either as magnetic type alpha or beta. The most prominent activity was a C4.5 flare (SIDC Flare 7621) peaking on May 07 at 02:15 UTC produced from behind the north-east limb. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at low levels over the next 24 hours with very likely C-class flares and chances for isolated M-class flaring.
A large filament eruption was detected in the SDO AIA imagery to lift off the southern hemisphere crossing the central meridian around 19:30 UTC on May 06. No clear coronal mass ejection (CME) associated to this eruption has bee identified in the currently available coronagraph imagery. No other Earth-directed CMEs have been identified in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours.
Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (as measured by ACE at L1) have exhibited background slow solar wind conditions. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field (B) registered a maximum value of 7.4 nT. The north-south (Bz) component was almost entirely positive (northward), recording a minimum value of -3.2 nT. The solar wind speed remained slow with values below 400 km/s. The B field phi angle was switching between the positive (directed away from the Sun) and the negative sector (directed towards the Sun). The solar wind parameters over the next 24 hours are expected to register a high-speed stream arrival related to the positive-polarity equatorial coronal hole, SIDC CH 158, which crossed the central meridian on May 04.
The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were quiet. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next 24 hours with possible isolated minor storms and small chances for moderate storms. Predominantly quiet to active conditions are expected later on May 08 and quiet to unsettled conditions on May 09.
Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the 24 hours over the next 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 was close to, but below the 1000 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so over the next days. The 24-hour electron fluence was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the 24 hours.
Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 068, na základě 17 stanic.
| Wolfovo číslo Catania | /// |
| 10cm sluneční tok | 120 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 006 |
| AK Wingst | 003 |
| Odhadovaný Ap | 003 |
| Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn | 103 - Na základě 19 stanic |
| Den | Začátek | Max | Konec | Místo | Síla | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Typy rádiových záblesků | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žádný | ||||||||||
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| Poslední X-záblesk | 24. 04. 2026 | X2.5 |
| Poslední M-záblesk | 07. 05. 2026 | M2.6 |
| Poslední geomagnetická bouře | 05. 05. 2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Dny bez skvrn | |
|---|---|
| Posledních 365 dnů | 3 dnů |
| 2026 | 3 dnů (2%) |
| Poslední den bez skvrn | 24. 02. 2026 |
| Průměrný měsíční počet slunečních skvrn | |
|---|---|
| dubna 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| května 2026 | 122.1 +42.8 |
| Posledních 30 dnů | 91.5 -9.6 |