Archiv von Sonntag, 13 Januar 2013 anzeigen

Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2013 Jan 13 1212 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)

Geomagnetismus

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
13 Jan 2013	165	003
14 Jan 2013	165	001
15 Jan 2013	162	001

Bulletin

Solar activity is dominated by NOAA ARs 1652 and 1654, which both have the potential for M class flares in the coming 48 hours, with a small risk of an X class flare from AR 1654. Two M flares occurred on Jan. 13: a M1.0 flare, peaking at 00:50 UT, and a M1.7 flare, peaking at 08:38 UT, both in AR 1652. The second one was associated with a metric type II burst. Both flares were quite impulsive with no obvious CME signatures (but no LASCO observations are yet available for the second event). If this is confirmed, geomagnetic conditions should be mostly quiet during the next 48 hours, but due to the risk of a geoeffective CME, warning conditions are issued.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 084, basierend auf 07 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 12 Jan 2013

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	169
AK Chambon La Forêt	008
AK Wingst	004
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	003
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	105 - Basierend auf 15 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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