Archiv von Dienstag, 15 Januar 2013 anzeigen

Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2013 Jan 15 1201 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
15 Jan 2013	150	001
16 Jan 2013	145	001
17 Jan 2013	140	001

Bulletin

Solar activity has become less active in the last 24 hours with the decay of NOAA AR 1652. There were several C flares coming from both NOAA AR 1652 and 1654 with the strongest one a C3.4 flare from NOAA AR 1654 peaking at 15:46 UT. C flaring is still likely to occur especially from NOAA AR 1654 with a small chance for an M-flare. There was a filament eruption in the South-West region around 7:15 UT associated with a CME, but it is unlikely to become geo-effective. An increase of the electron levels (especially 0.8 MeV) has been detected since January 14th 06:30 UT and has reached a maximum level of almost 50000 pfu since January 14th 15:00 UT and this level has been maintained until now. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and are expected to remain so for the next 48 hours.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 077, basierend auf 04 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 14 Jan 2013

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	154
AK Chambon La Forêt	012
AK Wingst	010
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	009
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	085 - Basierend auf 18 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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