Archiv von Dienstag, 8 Oktober 2013 anzeigen

Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2013 Oct 08 1228 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
08 Oct 2013	114	010
09 Oct 2013	117	007
10 Oct 2013	120	016

Bulletin

Solar activity has been rather low in the past 24 hours, with a C2.3 flare occurring in NOAA AR 1856, on October 07, 1540 UT (peak time). It doesn't appear to be associated with a CME. A filament eruption occurred on October 8, after 0800 UT, close to the North-East limb. It is associated with a CME, which is not geoeffective. We expect eruptive conditions (C flares possible) for the next 48 hours, as AR 1856 is still capable of an isolated C-class flare. To a lesser extent, NOAA AR 1861 might also produce a isolate C-class event. Geomagnetic activity is currently very low and is expected to remain so for the next 48 hours. Unsettled to active conditions are foreseen by the end of October 10, due to the possible arrival of the CME observed on October 6, combined with the influence of a small coronal hole in the northern hemisphere.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 066, basierend auf 14 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 07 Oct 2013

Wolf-Zahl Catania	136
10cm Solarflux	112
AK Chambon La Forêt	006
AK Wingst	004
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	004
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	052 - Basierend auf 26 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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