Archiv von Dienstag, 25 März 2014 anzeigen

Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2014 Mar 25 1335 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sonnenprotonen

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm Fluss	Ap
25 Mar 2014	159	007
26 Mar 2014	157	017
27 Mar 2014	156	007

Bulletin

Solar activity has been dominated by minor C-class flares from NOAA ARs 2010 and 2014. These two ARs, and AR 2015, have potential for M-class flares. A rise in the GOES proton levels (10 MeV up to 1 pfu) was seen this morning, this could correspond with the approaching shock of the CME from March 23 (low energy protons and electrons on ACE show an increase at the same time). It could also be related with activity seen at 05:30 UT around NOAA AR 2015, a flare accompanied by dimmings. There is no LASCO data yet but the COR instruments on STEREO show a CME directed towards the west. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet, solar wind speed around 400 km/s, IMF around 5 nT. Conditions may reach minor storm levels with the arrival of the March 23 CME, expected for early March 26 (midnight).

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 098, basierend auf 16 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 24 Mar 2014

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	159
AK Chambon La Forêt	006
AK Wingst	004
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	004
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	097 - Basierend auf 24 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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