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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2015 Jun 12 1231 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
12 Jun 2015	145	014
13 Jun 2015	150	007
14 Jun 2015	155	008

Bulletin

About a dozen C-class flares occurred during the past 24 hours, originating from Catania sunspot regions 79, 80 and 87 (NOAA active regions 2360, 2361 and 2367). The largest flare was a C8.3 flare peaking at 14:37 UT on June 11, coming from Catania region 87. Catania region 83 has developed to a beta-gamma region. More C-class flares are expected and quite likely also an isolated M-class flare. Two rather narrow CMEs (first measurements at 11:00 UT and 14:48 UT on June 11 in LASCO/C2) of less than 100 degrees angular width are propagating to the East without any expected geoeffectiveness.

High speed stream effects on Earth are reducing. Solar wind speed has decreased from 600 to 450 km/s, while the magnetic field magnetic was maximally at 5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled (K= 1 to 3), with a single time slot of active levels (K=4) at Dourbes. Geomagnetic conditions might enhance in case of arrival of the June 9 CME, potentially expected today. The arrival of a new high speed stream is expected on June 14 or 15, emanating from a negative polarity equatorial coronal hole.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 079, basierend auf 21 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 11 Jun 2015

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	140
AK Chambon La Forêt	013
AK Wingst	014
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	013
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	073 - Basierend auf 24 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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