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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2015 Nov 14 1231 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
14 Nov 2015	104	013
15 Nov 2015	105	013
16 Nov 2015	106	026

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low, there have been no C, M or X-class flares recorded. NOAA Active Region (AR) 2453 (N10E10 Bxo/Beta) has shown some growth, but remains small and appears stable. All other ARs have remained stable with small amounts of flux emergence. A small centrally located filament has shown some movement and has the potential to erupt. There were no Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) observed over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain low with a chance of C-class flares. The solar wind speed has increased slightly over the past 24 hours, from around 400 km /s to around 460 km /s. The total magnetic field slowly decreased from around 10 nT to 5 nT over the past 24 hours. The Bz component has oscillated between -5 nT and +6 nT over the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions have been mainly quiet over the past 24 hours (NOAA Kp 3-2, local K Dourbes 1-3). A small positive polarity coronal hole (CH) high-speed stream (HSS) enhanced geo-activity slightly yesterday (2015-Nov-13), and continued through the night.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 041, basierend auf 11 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 13 Nov 2015

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	103
AK Chambon La Forêt	///
AK Wingst	017
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	014
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	049 - Basierend auf 25 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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