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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2016 Jun 10 1230 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
10 Jun 2016	088	010
11 Jun 2016	091	025
12 Jun 2016	094	013

Bulletin

NOAA AR 2552 (beta-delta region now) produced two low C flares in the past 24 hours. The brightest one was a C1.5 flare with peak time at 12:34 UT on June 9. A new, yet unnumbered region is rotating around the East limb. More C flaring is possible in the next 24 hours (65% probability). During the past 24 hours, ACE solar wind speed decreased from about 375 to about 350 km/s. Meanwhile, the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between 1 and 4 nT. During the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled (K Dourbes between 0 and 3; NOAA Kp between 0 and 1). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on June 10, with a chance for active geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes = 4) due to an expected sector boundary crossing. Due to the expected arrival of a positive coronal hole high speed stream, active geomagnetic conditions are possible on June 11 and 12, with a chance for minor storm intervals (K Dourbes = 5).

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 032, basierend auf 23 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 09 Jun 2016

Wolf-Zahl Catania	036
10cm Solarflux	085
AK Chambon La Forêt	006
AK Wingst	006
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	004
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	021 - Basierend auf 34 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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