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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2016 Jul 19 1230 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
19 Jul 2016	106	005
20 Jul 2016	105	012
21 Jul 2016	104	021

Bulletin

The strongest flare of the period was a C1.0 flare in NOAA 2565, peaking at 00:22UT. Both NOAA 2565 and NOAA 2567 remained the most prominent sunspot groups on the solar disk. At the end of the reporting period, a long duration C2 event was in progress over the magnetic separation line between the two regions. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been observed.

Further C-class flaring is expected, with a chance on an isolated M-class flare.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions were observed. Solar wind parameters were at nominal values, with wind speed declining further from 410 to 340 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) was mostly directed away from the Sun (positive). A negative coronal hole (CH; latitude +15 degrees) has almost finished its transit over the central meridian (CM).

Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected. The arrival of a high speed stream (HSS) from a negative CH on the southern hemisphere (-25 degrees) is still possible today or on 20 July, which may result in an active geomagnetic episode. On 21 July, the earth-environment may see the arrival of the HSS from the northern CH, as well as the impact from the faint 17 July CMEs.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 064, basierend auf 28 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 18 Jul 2016

Wolf-Zahl Catania	088
10cm Solarflux	107
AK Chambon La Forêt	008
AK Wingst	004
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	003
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	068 - Basierend auf 39 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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