Archiv von Dienstag, 4 Oktober 2016 anzeigen

Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2016 Oct 04 1256 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
04 Oct 2016	088	026
05 Oct 2016	090	017
06 Oct 2016	093	017

Bulletin

There are two active regions on the visible solar disc, both have simple magnetic field configuration. Solar activity has been very low, no C-class flare in past 24 h. The new AR (NOAA 2599) is still rotating into view, it might increase solar activity. C-class flaring is likely to happen. Geomagnetic conditions were unsettled to active at Dourbes, with a minor storm period at planetary levels (Kp = 5 and KDourbes = 4) overnight. This was due to solar wind with velocities reaching 575 km/s with long lasting periods of negative Bz (reaching -7 nT). Solar wind speed is now at 500 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field intensities around 9 nT. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be unsettled to active with possible minor storm periods.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 043, basierend auf 18 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 03 Oct 2016

Wolf-Zahl Catania	047
10cm Solarflux	088
AK Chambon La Forêt	028
AK Wingst	019
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	017
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	039 - Basierend auf 28 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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