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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2016 Oct 08 1230 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
08 Oct 2016	106	011
09 Oct 2016	107	011
10 Oct 2016	106	011

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been very low. No significant flares have been recorded. Active Region AR 2598 (Mcintosh class:Dai; Mag. type:Beta) has been most active producing B-class flares, but shows evidence of flux emergence in HMI magnetogram observations, which may result in increased flaring activity around the C-class level over the next 24 hours. The solar wind speed has fluctuated between 400 and 475 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated between 3 nT and 7 nT. The Bz component fluctuated between -5 and +5 nT, but remained mainly positive. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-4 (NOAA) and local K index 1-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. There is currently a small positive polarity Northern polar coronal hole which shouldn't affect the Earth.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 066, basierend auf 13 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 07 Oct 2016

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	104
AK Chambon La Forêt	013
AK Wingst	008
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	006
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	062 - Basierend auf 17 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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