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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2017 Feb 22 1230 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
22 Feb 2017	085	011
23 Feb 2017	085	031
24 Feb 2017	085	031

Bulletin

Solar activity was low with NOAA region 2638 (Catania groups 95 and 96), the only active region on disk, producing several B flares of which the strongest of magnitude B6.8 peaking at 1:51UT. The region appears to be fairly simple and flaring is expected to remain at B level. No Earth directed CMEs have been observed in coronagraph data. The proton flux values are at background levels and expected to remain so.

Solar wind speed fluctuated in the 400-450 km/s range. Total magnetic field gradually increased from 4nT to around 7nT. There was a period of persistent positive Bz and fluctuation in the magnetic field phi angle following a drop in temperature around 15:30 UT. But otherwise Bz was variable with negative peaks not lower than -5nT and the magnetic field phi angle stable in the positive sector. Solar wind speed is expected to pick up by tomorrow February 23 reaching around 600 km/s under the influence of the equatorial positive polarity coronal hole. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled (local K Dourbes 1-3) with an isolated active period around midnight (only NOAA Kp 4). Over the next days active conditions are likely with also minor geomagnetic storms possible due to the expected high speed stream.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 028, basierend auf 09 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 21 Feb 2017

Wolf-Zahl Catania	050
10cm Solarflux	083
AK Chambon La Forêt	015
AK Wingst	005
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	004
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	027 - Basierend auf 19 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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