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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2017 Dec 11 1258 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetismus

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
11 Dec 2017	073	024
12 Dec 2017	074	024
13 Dec 2017	074	012

Bulletin

The Sun did not produce any C flares in the past 24 hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 15%. No Earth- directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels. Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR jumped from 337 to 352 km/s at 2:45 UT on December 11, coinciding with a jump of the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) and the solar wind density. Solar wind speed has further increased to current values around 420 km/s. The IMF had a maximum around 12 nT at 7:26 UT, with current values around 8 nT. This enhanced solar wind is associated with the arrival of a high speed stream from a positive coronal hole that crossed the central meridian on December 8. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 0 and 3) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to minor storm levels (K Dourbes < 6) are possible on December 11, 12 and 13 due to the influence of the high speed stream associated with a positive coronal hole, with a slight chance for moderate storm conditions (K Dourbes = 6).

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 011, basierend auf 03 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 10 Dec 2017

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	072
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	003
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	002
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	000 - Basierend auf 11 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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