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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2019 Feb 08 1230 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetismus

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
08 Feb 2019	070	020
09 Feb 2019	070	019
10 Feb 2019	070	007

Bulletin

The solar activity has been quiet over the past 24 hours. The visible solar disc was spotless, and the X-ray flux remained below B-level. Flaring conditions is expected to remain at low levels.

No Earth directed coronal mass ejection has been observed. The greater than 10 MeV solar protons flux remained at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so.

The solar wind speed reached a minimum (350 km/s) on Feb 8 around 04:00 UT, it then increased to about 475 km/s. The total interplanetary magnetic field strength remained below 6.5 nT during the 24-hour period, and the southward magnetic component fluctuated between -5.5 and 4.5 nT. This increase of the wind speed happened simultaneously with the sector boundary change from negative to positive polarity. It is probably due to the expected coming high-speed stream that pushes heads the current measured wind stream. A new sector boundary change from positive to negative polarity is expected later today with the arrival of the high-speed stream associated with the large patchy coronal hole (of negative polarity) that reached the central meridian on Feb 4.

The geomagnetic conditions were quiet with several periods of unsettled activity. The Kp index ranged between 0-2 (NOAA) and the local K index 0-3 (Dourbes). The conditions are expected to remain mostly quiet with possible unsettled conditions periods for the next couples of hours, then active conditions with possible short periods of minor storm is expected with the arrival of the high-speed stream associated with the coronal hole that reached the central meridian on Feb 4.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 000, basierend auf 11 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 07 Feb 2019

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	070
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	006
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	004
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	000 - Basierend auf 26 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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