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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2023 Dec 07 1248 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
07 Dec 2023	131	007
08 Dec 2023	131	007
09 Dec 2023	131	007

Solaraktive Regionen und Flares

Solar flaring activity was moderat over past 24 hours with an M-class flare and several C-class flares. The M2.3-class flares was produced by the bipolar active region NOAA 3513 with a peak time at 22:01. This egion also produced several C-class flares. The currently most complex region, NOAA 3511, with a beta-gamma magnetic class, was stable producing several C-class flares. The other region, NOAA 3507, also produced C-class flares. C-class flares are expected in the next 24 hours with some chances of M-class flare from NOAA 3513 and possibly NOAA 3511.

Koronaler Massenauswurf

No Earth directed coronal mass ejection was identified in the currently available SOHO/LASCO-C2 coronographe images.

Koronale Löcher

A new mid-latitude south coronal hole has now reach the central median.

Sonnenwind

The Solar Wind (SW) conditions near Earth remained affected by the High-Speed Stream (HSS) from the large equatorial coronal hole that crossed the central meridian on Saturday 2 of December. The SW speed decreased from 628 km/s and 478 km/s, the total interplanetary magnetic field (Bt) was below 5.0 nT. The North-South magnetic component (Bz) ranged between -3.6 and 3.5 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was negative (directed towards the Sun) during the past 24 hours. The SW conditions are expected to returned to a slow solar wind regime in the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetismus

Geomagnetic conditions were mainly quiet to unsettle both globally and locally (NOAA-Kp and K-BEL 1 to 3) during the last 24 hours. We expect mainly quiet conditions in the next 24 hours in response to the return of the slow solar wind conditions.

Protonenflusswerte

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.

Elektronenflüsse im geostationären Orbit

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by the GOES-16 satellite, went above the the 1000 pfu alert threshold during the last 24 hours due to the ongoing fast solar wind condition. It is expected to remain close to 1000 pfu during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at low levels during the past 24 hours and is expected to remain at these levels for the following 24 hours with also some increases due to the ongoing solar wind conditions.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 126, basierend auf 06 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 06 Dec 2023

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	130
AK Chambon La Forêt	013
AK Wingst	012
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	012
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	147 - Basierend auf 15 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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