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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2026 Jan 14 1231 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
14 Jan 2026	116	007
15 Jan 2026	120	007
16 Jan 2026	120	007

Solaraktive Regionen und Flares

Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with only C-class flares identified. The largest flare was a C9.6 flare peaking on January 14 at 03:50 UTC, originated from SIDC Sunspot Group 761. A total of 3 numbered sunspot groups are currently on the disk. SIDC Sunspot Group 761 (Alpha magnetic configuration) just turned on disk from the east limb and is responsible of the majority of the C-class flaring. Solar flaring activity is expected to be moderate over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares expected and M-class flares likely.

Koronaler Massenauswurf

No new Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph images.

Sonnenwind

Solar wind conditions are transitioning to slow solar wind conditions over the past 24 hours. The solar wind velocity gradually decreased from 590 to 470 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field was around 6nT, with the Bz reaching a minimum value of -4 nT. Solar wind conditions are expected to remain slow over the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetismus

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled globally and locally (Kp 3-, K bel 2) over the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsetled geomagnetic conditions are expected over the next day.

Protonenflusswerte

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained below the 10 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so over the next days.

Elektronenflüsse im geostationären Orbit

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was above the 1000 pfu threshold for the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the upcoming days. The 24h electron fluence was at moderate level and is expected to remain so in the next days.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 063, basierend auf 07 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 13 Jan 2026

Wolf-Zahl Catania	065
10cm Solarflux	117
AK Chambon La Forêt	014
AK Wingst	011
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	010
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	049 - Basierend auf 11 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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