Viendo archivo del lunes, 8 julio 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Jul 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 190 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 JUL 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7978 (S10W24) PRO-
DUCED SEVERAL C-CLASS EVENTS TODAY. THE LARGEST OF THESE WAS
A C1/SF AT 0900Z. THE GROUP EXHIBITED SIGNIFICANT EMERGENCE
OF MAGNETIC FLUX OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS FLUX EMERGENCE
WAS ACCOMPANIED BY A REMARKABLE INCREASE IN SPOT AREA FROM
30 TO 210 MILLIONTHS OF A SOLAR HEMISPHERE. THE EMERGENCE
OF NEGATIVE POLARITY SPOTS THAT HAVE COMBINED WITH A CENTRAL,
POSITIVE POLARITY PORTION OF THE REGION HAVE LED TO THE FORM-
ATION OF A MAGNETIC DELTA CONFIGURATION.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
LOW. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THE OCCURRENCE OF AN ISOLATED
M-CLASS EVENT FROM REGION 7978.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE
PAST 24 HOURS. A PERIOD OF ACTIVE LEVELS OCCURRED AT HIGH
LATITUDES FROM 0600-0900Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 JUL a 11 JUL
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 JUL 082 Previsto 09 JUL-11 JUL 082/082/082 Media de 90 Días 08 JUL 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JUL 012/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JUL 011/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JUL-11 JUL 010/008-010/008-010/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 JUL a 11 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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