Viendo archivo del jueves, 15 agosto 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Aug 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 228 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 AUG 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ISOLATED SMALL X-RAY
INCREASES OCCURRED, LIKELY FROM REGION 7984 (N29E10). THIS SPOT
GROUP GREW SLIGHTLY, NOW SHOWING RUDIMENTARY PENUMBRA ON THE
LEADER SPOT.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD VARIED FROM QUIET TO MILDLY ACTIVE
DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 AUG a 18 AUG
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 AUG 068 Previsto 16 AUG-18 AUG 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 15 AUG 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 14 AUG 013/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 15 AUG 012/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 16 AUG-18 AUG 010/010-010/008-010/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 AUG a 18 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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