Viendo archivo del miércoles, 21 agosto 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Aug 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 234 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 AUG 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. RECENT YOHKOH
IMAGES SHOW OLD REGION 7981 AT THE SOUTHEAST LIMB. THE REGION IS
LESS BRIGHT THAN LAST ROTATION BUT SHOWED SOME LOOP DYNAMICS.
THIS REGION IS THE LIKELY SOURCE OF A B1 ENHANCEMENT FROM
21/1415-1801Z. IT IS POSSIBLE A CME OCCURRED WITH THIS LONG
DURATION EVENT.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN AT
A VERY LOW LEVEL. THERE IS A SLIGHT POSSIBILITY OF A C-CLASS
FLARE FROM OLD REGION 7981.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE
DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 AUG a 24 AUG
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 AUG 070 Previsto 22 AUG-24 AUG 072/073/074 Media de 90 Días 21 AUG 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 20 AUG 008/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 21 AUG 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 22 AUG-24 AUG 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 AUG a 24 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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