Viendo archivo del viernes, 20 septiembre 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Sep 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 264 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 SEP 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WAS NO SOLAR
ACTIVITY OF NOTE, EXCEPT THE DISAPPEARANCE OF A SMALL FILAMENT
IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.THE DISK REMAINS SPOTLESS.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT UNSETTLED TO MINOR STORM.
RECENT SOLAR WIND DATA INDICATES A LOW DENSITY, HIGH SPEED
SOLAR WIND STREAM. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS
ALTITUDE WERE MODERATE TO HIGH. THE ELECTRON FLUX CROSSED
ALERT THRESHHOLD AT 20/1420Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 SEP a 23 SEP
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 SEP 069 Previsto 21 SEP-23 SEP 070/070/072 Media de 90 Días 20 SEP 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 19 SEP 012/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 20 SEP 031/030 PREDICTED AFR/AP 21 SEP-23 SEP 015/015-015/015-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 SEP a 23 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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