Viendo archivo del jueves, 26 septiembre 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Sep 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 270 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 SEP 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE DISK REMAINS
SPOTLESS.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS.
A HIGH SPEED STREAM BEGAN TO HAVE AN EFFECT AROUND MIDDAY AND
CONTINUES. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY ACTIVE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE
TO CORONAL HOLE EFFECTS. QUIET TO UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 SEP a 29 SEP
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 SEP 070 Previsto 27 SEP-29 SEP 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 26 SEP 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 SEP 010/010 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 SEP 018/020 PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 SEP-29 SEP 025/020-010/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 SEP a 29 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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