Viendo archivo del sábado, 23 noviembre 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Nov 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 328 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 NOV 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7999 (S04E33)
CONTINUED TO GROW IN WHITE LIGHT AND H-ALPHA, WHILE PRODUCING
THE ONLY OBSERVED C-CLASS EVENT, A C1/0F AT 0636Z. A SECOND
UNSEEN C1 EVENT OCCURRED AT 1546Z. 7999'S EVOLUTION, COUPLED
WITH GROWTH IN THE OTHER SPOTTED REGION, 7997 (N05W40), DROVE
THE 10.7 CM FLUX TO ITS HIGHEST VALUE SINCE OCTOBER 12, 1995.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
LOW. ADDITIONAL C-CLASS FLARES ARE ANTICIPATED FROM REGION
7999.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. A RECURRENT
HIGH SPEED STREAM IS EXPECTED TO FUEL THIS WEAK DISTURBANCE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 NOV a 26 NOV
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 NOV 091 Previsto 24 NOV-26 NOV 095/095/090 Media de 90 Días 23 NOV 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 NOV 004/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 NOV 004/003 PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 NOV-26 NOV 010/008-015/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 NOV a 26 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 50% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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