Viendo archivo del viernes, 10 enero 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Jan 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 010 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 JAN 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO MAJOR STORM LEVELS. STORM
CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED AT MANY STATIONS FROM 10/0600-1200Z. THIS
ACTIVITY WAS IN RESPONSE TO SOLAR WIND CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG
SOUTHWARD IMF OVER A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. SOLAR WIND DATA FROM A
VARIETY OF SOURCES SUGGEST THE PASSAGE OF A MAGNETIC PLASMA CLOUD
WHICH FIRST ENCOUNTERED THE EARTH AT 10/0100Z. THIS CLOUD MAY BE
RELATED TO A LARGE CME OBSERVED BY THE SOHO SPACECRAFT ON 6 JANUARY.
WIND SPACECRAFT DATA SUGGEST THAT THIS STRUCTURE COMPLETED ITS PASS
BY THE EARTH BY ABOUT 10/1800Z. THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET
TO UNSETTLED SINCE ABOUT 10/1500Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON
FLUX INCREASED FROM NORMAL TO HIGH LEVELS AT 10/1640Z AND HAS
REMAINED THERE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 JAN a 13 JAN
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 JAN 075 Previsto 11 JAN-13 JAN 076/076/076 Media de 90 Días 10 JAN 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 JAN 006/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 JAN 018/030 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 JAN-13 JAN 010/012-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 JAN a 13 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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