Viendo archivo del lunes, 17 febrero 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Feb 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 048 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 FEB 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED AT A VERY LOW LEVEL.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN AT A VERY
LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD BEGAN THE PERIOD AT QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED
LEVELS. UNSETTLED TO MAJOR STORM CONDITIONS WERE EXPERIENCED BETWEEN
17/0600-1200Z. THE ONLY POSSIBLE SOURCE OF THIS DISTURBANCE WAS A
VERY SLOW DISSOLUTION OF A FILAMENT NEAR N08E29 ON 13 FEB. AFTER THE
DISTURBANCE, THE FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE
QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 FEB a 20 FEB
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 FEB 073 Previsto 18 FEB-20 FEB 073/073/075 Media de 90 Días 17 FEB 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 16 FEB 010/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 17 FEB 014/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 18 FEB-20 FEB 010/010-010/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 FEB a 20 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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