Viendo archivo del viernes, 28 marzo 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Mar 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 087 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 MAR 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. TODAY'S SOLE C-CLASS EVENT WAS
CLASS C1 AT 0120Z. THERE WERE NO OBSERVATIONS AVAILABLE TO PINPOINT
THE SOURCE OF THE EVENT. REGION 8026 (S24E59) IS THE ONLY SPOTTED
REGION ON THE DISK AND HAS SHOWN SLOW GROWTH OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THE GROUP HAS NEW CYCLE POLARITY, WITH MAGNETICALLY NEGATIVE LEADERS
AND POSITIVE TRAILERS.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. THERE CONTINUES TO BE A FAIR CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL,
ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS FROM REGION 8026.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED FROM THE BEGINNING OF
THE PERIOD THROUGH ABOUT 28/1400Z, WHEN AN INCREASE IN ACTIVITY
BEGAN. SINCE 1400Z, ACTIVITY RANGED FROM UNSETTLED TO MINOR STORM
CONDITIONS WITH SOME ISOLATED MAJOR STORM PERIODS AT A FEW HIGH
LATITUDE SITES. SOLAR WIND DATA WERE AVAILABLE BRIEFLY DURING THE
DISTURBANCE AND INDICATED ENHANCED DENSITIES (10-15 P/CC), NOMINAL
SPEEDS (400-430 KM/S), AND A SOUTHWARD DIRECTED INTERPLANETARY
MAGNETIC FIELD OF MODERATE STRENGTH (-5 TO -10 NT). THIS SIGNATURE
SUGGESTS THAT THE ACTIVITY WAS CAUSED BY A CORONAL TRANSIENT. THE
GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUXES WERE AT MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS
TODAY.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 MAR a 31 MAR
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 MAR 073 Previsto 29 MAR-31 MAR 074/075/076 Media de 90 Días 28 MAR 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 27 MAR 007/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 28 MAR 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 29 MAR-31 MAR 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 MAR a 31 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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