Viendo archivo del domingo, 30 marzo 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Mar 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 089 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 MAR 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. REGION
8026 (S25E32), THE LONE ACTIVE REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK, CONTINUES
TO SHOW SLOW GROWTH AND IS CURRENTLY A 19 SPOT 'ESO' GROUP. ALTHOUGH
ALL AIR FORCE OBSERVING STATIONS LIST THIS GROUP WITH A BETA
MAGNETIC CLASSIFICATION, THE MT. WILSON SOLAR OBSERVATORY DEFINED IT
TODAY AS A MORE COMPLEX BETA-GAMMA-DELTA.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. REGION 8026 HAS A FAIR CHANCE (30-40%) TO PRODUCE
OCCASIONAL C-CLASS EVENTS, AND A SLIGHT CHANCE (5-10%) FOR AN
ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENT.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS, WITH ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS RECORDED DURING
THE INTERVAL 29/2100-30/0600Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS WERE
AT HIGH LEVELS UNTIL CROSSING THE VERY HIGH THRESHOLD AT 30/1710Z,
WHERE THEY REMAINED FOR THE BALANCE OF THE REPORTING PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH THE
CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 MAR a 02 APR
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 MAR 074 Previsto 31 MAR-02 APR 075/076/077 Media de 90 Días 30 MAR 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 MAR 014/015 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 MAR 010/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 MAR-02 APR 010/012-010/010-015/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 MAR a 02 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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