Viendo archivo del domingo, 13 abril 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Apr 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 103 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 APR 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. REGION 8031 (S30W49)
CONTINUED TO EMERGE AT A MODERATE PACE AND BECAME A SMALL D-CLASS
REGION. THIS REGION PRODUCED A B8/SF AT 13/1846Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE VERY LOW TO
LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. REGION 8031 IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
SMALL C-CLASS FLARES AND CONTINUED GROWTH SHOULD INCREASE THE
FREQUENCY OF THOSE SMALL EVENTS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. SOLAR WIND VELOCITIES
CONTINUED AT AN ELEVATED BUT STEADY LEVEL.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS ARE POSSIBLE AS LONG AS A MODERATELY HIGH
SPEED SOLAR WIND IS IN THE EARTH'S VICINITY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 APR a 16 APR
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 APR 079 Previsto 14 APR-16 APR 081/082/078 Media de 90 Días 13 APR 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 APR 009/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 APR 006/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 APR-16 APR 008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 APR a 16 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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