Viendo archivo del domingo, 1 junio 1997

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Jun 01 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 152 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 JUN 1997

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8048 (S29E28) PRODUCED TWO B1 X-RAY EVENTS, AS WELL AS TWO UNRELATED SUBFLARES, AND CONTINUES TO SHOW MARKED GROWTH AND STRONG AFS ACTIVITY. THE REGION IS CURRENTLY A 'CRO' BETA GROUP WITH 10-15 SPOTS. REGION 8047 (N26E08), A 3 SPOT 'CRO' GROUP, REMAINS STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW TO LOW, WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS FROM REGION 8048.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET WITH ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH THE CONTINUED CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS. ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS ON DAY TWO, AND ACTIVE WITH THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF MINOR STORMING ON DAY THREE, IN RESPONSE TO THE LARGE (61 DEGREE) DSF OBSERVED IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT ON 31 MAY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 JUN a 04 JUN
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       01 JUN 077
  Previsto   02 JUN-04 JUN  077/077/077
  Media de 90 Días        01 JUN 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 MAY  009/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 JUN  007/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 JUN-04 JUN  005/005-010/010-020/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 JUN a 04 JUN
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%20%60%
Tormenta Menor05%10%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%30%60%
Tormenta Menor10%10%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%10%

All times in UTC

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