Viendo archivo del viernes, 5 septiembre 1997

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Sep 05 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 248 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 SEP 1997

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW DUE TO A C1/SF FLARE FROM REGION 8076 (N26W83) AT 05/1330Z. THIS REGION CONTINUES TO DECAY AS IT APPROACHES THE WEST LIMB. REGION 8083 (S27E29) CONTINUED TO EMERGE AND PRODUCED A FEW FLUCTUATIONS. OLD REGION 8082 (N21E23) HAD DECAYED TO ALMOST A SPOTLESS PLAGE BUT DURING THE PERIOD EXHIBITED MODERATE GROWTH. THIS REGION PRODUCED SEVERAL B-CLASS SUBFLARES.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT A LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. REGION 8076 WILL BECOME LESS OF A THREAT AFTER ITS LIMB TRANSIT BUT GROWING REGIONS 8082 AND 8083 SHOULD BEGIN TO PRODUCE C-CLASS FLARES IMMINENTLY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES. THE DISTURBANCE OF 03-04 SEP HAS PASSED. SOLAR WIND DATA INDICATE A NOMINAL FLOW.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 SEP a 08 SEP
Clase M15%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       05 SEP 096
  Previsto   06 SEP-08 SEP  095/090/087
  Media de 90 Días        05 SEP   075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 SEP  018/019
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 SEP  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 SEP-08 SEP  005/010-005/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 SEP a 08 SEP
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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