Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 septiembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Sep 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 272 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 SEP 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8088 (S29W55) PRODUCED
THE LARGEST FLARE OF THE PAST DAY, A C2/SF AT 29/1624Z. THIS REGION
IS DECAYING SLOWLY. NEWLY NUMBERED REGION 8089 (N20W44) IS
ASSOCIATED WITH EXTENSIVE SCATTERED PLAGE AND A LONG WINDING
FILAMENT CHANNEL. TODAY'S 10.7 CM SOLAR FLUX VALUE (90 SFU) WAS
MEASURED DURING A B6 X-RAY FLARE AND COULD BE ENHANCED ABOVE THE
BACKGROUND LEVEL.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
ADDITIONAL C-CLASS FLARES ARE POSSIBLE IN REGION 8088.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE. THE GREATER THAN 2
MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 SEP a 02 OCT
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 SEP 090 Previsto 30 SEP-02 OCT 086/084/084 Media de 90 Días 29 SEP 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 SEP 013/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 SEP 010/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 SEP-02 OCT 010/008-010/008-010/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 SEP a 02 OCT
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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