Viendo archivo del sábado, 11 octubre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Oct 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 284 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 OCT 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8092 (N24E01), NOW
SPOTLESS, PRODUCED A B4/0F FLARE WITH TYPE II SWEEP AT 0858Z. THE
TWO SPOTTED REGIONS, 8093 (N31E14) AND 8094 (N21W37), WERE QUIET AND
STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT MINOR TO MAJOR STORM LEVELS THE FIRST
HALF OF THE PERIOD. ACTIVITY INCREASED JUST AFTER A WEAK SUDDEN
IMPULSE PASSED AT APPROXIMATELY 10/1630Z. THIS DISTURBANCE IS
THOUGHT TO BE DUE TO THE PASSAGE OF A CME THAT LEFT THE SUN ON 07
OCTOBER. MOSTLY QUIET CONDITIONS HAVE PREVAILED SINCE 1200Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO MILDLY ACTIVE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 OCT a 14 OCT
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 OCT 086 Previsto 12 OCT-14 OCT 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 11 OCT 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 10 OCT 025/027 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 11 OCT ???/??? PREDICTED AFR/AP 12 OCT-14 OCT 010/???-010/???-010/???
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 OCT a 14 OCT
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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