Viendo archivo del lunes, 1 diciembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Dec 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 335 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 DEC 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 8113 (N21E09)
GENERATED AN M1/1N FLARE AT 01/0237Z. SINCE THAT TIME, ONLY MINOR
C-CLASS ACTIVITY HAS BEEN OBSERVED. REGION 8113 IS DOWN IN OVERALL
AREA SINCE YESTERDAY TO APPROXIMATELY 550 MILLIONTHS, BUT ITS SPOT
COUNT REMAINS HIGH AT 50. WITH THE SPLITTING OF ITS TRAILING
PENUMBRA INTO THREE SEPARATE PENUMBRAS, REGION 8113 IS CURRENTLY
CLASSIFIED AS AN 'FHI' BETA-GAMMA, HAVING LOST ITS PREVIOUS DELTA
MAGNETIC CONFIGURATION.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MODERATE TO HIGH, WITH THE CONTINUED HIGH PROBABILITY OF MAJOR
FLARES FROM REGION 8113.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH ACTIVITY
INCREASING TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 DEC a 04 DEC
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | YELLOW | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 DEC 117 Previsto 02 DEC-04 DEC 120/120/120 Media de 90 Días 01 DEC 094
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 NOV 006/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 DEC 004/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 DEC-04 DEC 010/010-015/015-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 DEC a 04 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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