Viendo archivo del viernes, 5 diciembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Dec 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 339 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 DEC 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8113 (N20W42)
CONTINUES TO DECAY PRODUCING JUST ONE SUBFLARE EARLY IN THE PERIOD.
THE REGION NOW CONSISTS OF APPROXIMATELY 12 SPOTS MEASURING 330
MILLIONTHS IN WHITE LIGHT AREA. NEW REGIONS 8115 (N33W19), A 4 SPOT
BXO SPOT GROUP, AND 8116 (N24E43), A SINGLE AXX SPOT, WERE NUMBERED
TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. REGION 8113 STILL HAS POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE C-CLASS
FLARES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR M-CLASS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET WITH INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF
UNSETTLED ACTIVITY IN THE HIGH LATITUDES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH
LATITUDES WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE SOME INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF
UNSETTLED ACTIVITY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 DEC a 08 DEC
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 DEC 104 Previsto 06 DEC-08 DEC 102/100/098 Media de 90 Días 05 DEC 095
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 DEC 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 DEC 007/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 DEC-08 DEC 005/008-005/008-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 DEC a 08 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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