Viendo archivo del lunes, 15 diciembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Dec 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 349 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 DEC 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW DUE TO A C1/SF FLARE AT 15/1846Z
IN REGION 8123 (N18E46). THIS REGION ALSO PRODUCED SEVERAL B-CLASS
SUBFLARES. REGION 8122 (N31W60) HAS BEEN QUIET.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. SMALL C-CLASS FLARES ARE POSSIBLE IN REGIONS 8122 AND
8123.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX
WAS MODERATE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 DEC a 18 DEC
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 DEC 089 Previsto 16 DEC-18 DEC 088/088/088 Media de 90 Días 15 DEC 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 14 DEC 003/002 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 15 DEC 003/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 16 DEC-18 DEC 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 DEC a 18 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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