Viendo archivo del miércoles, 31 diciembre 1997

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Dec 31 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 365 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 DEC 1997

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8124 (S21W63) PRODUCED A C4/SF AT 31/2027Z ALONG WITH A C1/SF AT 31/1826Z. A WEAK DELTA CONFIGURATION REMAINS IN THIS REGION IN SPITE OF SLOW OVERALL DECAY. REGION 8126 (N21W23) ALSO PRODUCED A C1/SF AT 31/0718Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT GENERALLY LOW LEVELS FOR 01-02 JAN. REGION 8124 ROTATES OVER THE WEST LIMB ON 03 JAN AND THE FREQUENCY OF C-CLASS EVENTS SHOULD BEGIN TO ABATE. THERE IS A SLIGHT PROBABILITY OF REGION 8124 PRODUCING AN ISOLATED LOW LEVEL M-CLASS EVENT.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE DISTURBANCE OBSERVED ON 30 DEC ENDED NEAR 30/2100Z. NOTE: BEGINNING ON 01 JAN 98, ALL FREDERICKSBURG A-INDICES WILL BE ESTIMATED VALUES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS FORECAST TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 JAN a 03 JAN
Clase M10%10%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       31 DEC 105
  Previsto   01 JAN-03 JAN  103/103/098
  Media de 90 Días        31 DEC 095
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 DEC  018/025
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 31 DEC  003/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 JAN-03 JAN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 JAN a 03 JAN
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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