Viendo archivo del sábado, 10 enero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jan 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 010 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 JAN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW. NEWLY NUMBERED REGION
8131 (S26E19), A SMALL B-TYPE GROUP, PRODUCED A B-CLASS SUBFLARE
LATE IN THE PERIOD.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET WITH ISOLATED UNSETTLED
PERIODS OBSERVED AT MIDDLE AND HIGH LATITUDES. THE GREATER THAN 2
MEV ELECTRON FLUX REACHED HIGH LEVELS AT 10/1623UT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO MOSTLY QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX IS
EXPECTED TO DECLINE TO MODERATE TO NORMAL LEVELS BY 12 JANUARY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 JAN a 13 JAN
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 JAN 081 Previsto 11 JAN-13 JAN 082/082/082 Media de 90 Días 10 JAN 095
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 JAN 009/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 JAN 006/006 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 JAN-13 JAN 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 JAN a 13 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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